Thursday, June 16, 2016

FOR THE RECORD: Nigeria Unveils New Forex Policy, Removes Controls On Naira

Godwin Emefiele, CBN Governor
The Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, on Wednesday formally unveiled the much-awaited flexible foreign exchange policy, saying it would launch a forex interbank trading window that will be purely market-driven.
Media report continues:
The new policy effectively removes controls on the naira, and is expected to increase dollar supply and help the nation’s weak economy.
Making the announcement in Abuja on Wednesday, CBN governor, Godwin Emefiele, said the bank will operate a single trading window, to be launched on Monday.
The new window will have about 10 primary traders, to be appointed by the bank. Each trader will have a minimum volume of US$10 million, he said.
He said the new mechanism would enable businesses plan their portfolio effectively without fear of losses as a result fluctuation in exchange rates.
“We are optimistic that the steps we have taken today will further deepen the market and help get foreign exchange into the market. I will say to Nigerians be calm, there is no need to worry, everything is well,” Mr. Emefiele said.
In this Tuesday Oct. 20, 2015 file photo, a money changer counts Nigerian naira currency at a bureau de change, in Lagos Nigeria. (AP Photo/Sunday Alamba)
Nigeria Central Bank Floats Embattled Naira Currency
Associated Press reports that Nigeria will float its embattled naira currency, the Central Bank governor announced Wednesday after months of pressure to control a spiraling crisis in Africa's biggest economy.
Gov. Godwin Emefiele told reporters the naira rate will be "market-driven" from June 20.
Critical foreign currency shortages caused by slumping oil prices forced a policy change that President Muhammadu Buhari had resisted for months. The bank had defended the naira at a rate of 197 to the dollar while the currency was trading at up to 370 on the parallel market .
"They have to accept reality at some point after a period of denial," said Ayo Teriba, CEO of Economic Associates consultancy. Companies were unhappy with the government forcing them to exchange their imported foreign exchange at the low fixed rate and, when they needed to buy some, use the parallel market at the much higher rate, he told The Associated Press.
Emefiele indicated a floating naira should get rid of speculators.
There will be only one exchange rate in "an open, transparent system," he said.
Companies have gone bust, tens of thousands of workers have lost their jobs and militant attacks have shrunk oil production as Nigeria's economy contracted for the first time in nearly 20 years.
Companies with naira earnings that the government has refused to allow them to repatriate will take a hit. International airlines are holding the equivalent of US$600 million at the old exchange rate, according to the International Air Transport Association.
Analysts warn of expected interest rate hikes to tackle double-digit inflation.
"These actions are a down payment on our people's ability to succeed," Buhari, under pressure to devalue since his March 2015 election, wrote Wednesday in The Wall Street Journal.
"Longstanding structural imbalances and overdependence on imports have been cruelly exposed," Buhari wrote. "We are an oil-rich nation that imports most of our gasoline. We are a farming nation that imports most of our basic food staples."
Many Nigerians criticized the delay. "And they finally float the Naira, 9 months late. It will take us 2 years to recover from this unnecessary stubbornness," one said on social media.
Another bitter commentator posted: "So we crashed our whole economy, killed business, killed bank jobs, suffered hyperinflation for NOTHING. We have floated the Naira — too late."
But Kevin Daly of Aberdeen Asset Management said he was "pleasantly surprised." Many had expected the government to devalue, but not enough. He said it remained to be seen what the government can do to provide liquidity with foreign currency reserves some US$10 billion below the published figure of US$26 billion.
The gap between the value of exports and imports will decide the new naira rate, Teriba said.
Daly said the weakened naira would fuel inflation but "this is the price they have to pay for a failed policy ... which has been like a noose round the neck of Nigeria's economy."
13 Things To Know About Nigeria’s New Forex Policy
Media reports that the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, on Wednesday formally unveiled the much-awaited flexible foreign exchange policy that would allow the foreign exchange interbank trading window to be driven purely by market forces.
The new policy effectively removes controls on the naira, allowing increased dollar supply that would help strengthen the country’s weak economy.
CBN governor Godwin Emefiele, said in Abuja at the formal announcement that the new framework would operate a single trading window, to be launched on Monday, with about 10 primary traders, to be appointed by the bank.
Each trader will have a minimum volume of US$10 million.
Mr. Emefiele said Nigeria’s foreign exchange reserves declined from about US$42.8 billion in January 2014 to about US$26.7 billion as of June 10, 2016, with average monthly inflows falling from about US$3.2 billion to current levels below a billion dollars per month.
Despite these outcomes, the CBN governor said the demand for foreign exchange rose significantly, from an average import bill of ₦148.3 billion per month in 2005, to about ₦917.6 billion per month in 2015.
To avoid further depletion of the reserves, Mr. Emefiele said the CBN opted to adopt policy actions to prioritize the most critical needs for foreign exchange as well as maintaining stability in the exchange rate.
The areas of priority included honouring matured letters of credit from commercial banks, importation of raw materials, plants, and equipment, importation of petroleum products, and payments of school fees, and related expenses.
He said the CBN was able to stabilize the exchange rate since February 2015, and eliminated speculators and rent-seekers from the foreign exchange market.
“Our Reserves, despite having fallen, is still robust and is able to cover about five months of imports as against the international benchmark of three months,” the CBN governor said.
He said it was time to restore the automatic adjustment mechanism of the exchange rate, with the re-introduction of a flexible inter-bank exchange rate market.
The workings of the market, he explained, would be consistent with the CBN’s objectives of enhancing efficiency and facilitating a liquid and transparent foreign exchange market.
Key highlights of the framework include:
1. The market shall operate as a single market structure through the inter-bank/autonomous window;
2. The Exchange Rate will be purely market-driven using the Thomson-Reuters Order Matching System as well as the Conversational Dealing Book;
3. The CBN will participate in the Market through periodic interventions to either buy or sell FX as the need arises;
4. To improve the dynamics of the market, CBN will introduce FX Primary Dealers (FXPD) who would be registered by the CBN to deal directly with the Bank for large trade sizes on a two-way quotes basis;
5. These Primary Dealers shall operate with other dealers in the Inter-bank market, amongst other obligations that will be stipulated in the Foreign Exchange Primary Dealers (FXPD) Guidelines;
6. There shall be no predetermined spread on FX spot transactions executed through the CBN intervention with Primary Dealers, while all FX Spot purchased by Authorized Dealers are transferable in the inter-bank FX Market;
7. The 41 items classified as “Not Valid for Foreign Exchange” as detailed in a previous CBN Circular shall remain inadmissible in the Nigerian FX market;
8. To enhance liquidity in the market, the CBN may also offer long-tenored FX Forwards of 6 to 12 months or any tenor to Authorized Dealers;
9. Sale of FX Forwards by Authorized Dealers to end-users must be trade-backed, with no predetermined spreads;
10. The CBN shall introduce non-deliverable over-the-counter (OTC) Naira-settled Futures, with daily rates on the CBN-approved FMDQ Trading and Reporting System.
11. The OTC FX Futures shall be in non-standardized amounts and different fixed tenors, which may be sold on any dates thereby ensuring bespoke maturity dates;
12. Proceeds of Foreign Investment Inflows and International Money Transfers shall be purchased by Authorized Dealers at the Daily Inter-Bank Rate; and
13. Non-oil exporters are now allowed unfettered access to their FX proceeds.

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