Hot and wild and with an
"increasingly visible human footprint" — that's how the U.N. weather
agency sums up the global climate in the past five years.
In
a report released Tuesday at international climate talks in Morocco, the World
Meteorological Organization said 2011-2015 was the hottest five-year period on
record.
That
comes as no surprise as WMO's annual reports have showed record average
temperatures in 2014 and 2015. But the agency said the five-year report
provides a better overview of warming trends and extreme events such as
prolonged droughts and recurrent heatwaves.
"We
just had the hottest five-year period on record, with 2015 claiming the title
of hottest individual year. Even that record is likely to be beaten in
2016," said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas.
The
WMO's preliminary climate assessment for 2016 is set to be released next week.
While
it's complicated to draw links between single weather events and climate
change, the report found that many extreme events during the period were made
more likely as a result of man-made climate change. In the case of some extreme
high temperatures, the probability increased by a factor of 10 or more, the
report said.
"Examples
include the record high seasonal and annual temperatures in the United States
in 2012 and in Australia in 2013, hot summers in eastern Asia and western
Europe in 2013, heatwaves in spring and autumn 2014 in Australia, record annual
warmth in Europe in 2014, and a heatwave in Argentina in December 2013,"
WMO said.
The
report found no strong climate change link for extreme rainfall events.
Other
highlights:
—
Arctic summer sea ice coverage was 28 percent below the 1981-2010 average,
reaching a record low in 2012. By contrast the Antarctic sea ice was above
average, especially the winter maximum.
—
Surface melting of the Greenland ice sheet — a contributor to rising seas —
continued at above-average levels, exceeding the 1981-2010 average in all five
years from 2011 to 2015. Mountain glaciers also continued their decline.
—
Snow cover in the northern hemisphere was "well below average" in all
five years, continuing a strong downward trend.
Climate
scientists who were not involved with the report said it underscored the need
for governments to boost efforts to fight climate change beyond their pledges
for last year's landmark Paris Agreement.
"The
evidence is overwhelming," said Chris Field, director of the Stanford
Woods Institute for the Environment. "The new report from WMO is a clarion
call for embracing and going beyond the goals of the Paris Agreement."
The
Paris deal calls for keeping global temperature rises below 2 degrees C (3.6
degrees Fahrenheit) compared with preindustrial times. The average temperature
in 2015, partly influenced by a powerful El Nino event, was already halfway
there.
"Halting global warming at a manageable level, as the world's nations decided in the Paris Agreement, is now a race against time," said Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute in Germany.
No comments:
Post a Comment