Map of Nigeria Image source: wikipedia.org |
Having enjoyed blissful
growth over the past decade, Nigeria was one of the fastest growing economies
in the world, but it is not one of the 15 fastest growing economies in Africa
for 2016.
Vanguard
report continues:
In
2014 and early 2015, Nigeria was named the third fastest growing economy in the
world by CNNMoney, with China and Qatar, taking the lead at 7.3%, 7.1% gross
domestic product (GDP) growth. For 2016, however, the coast is cloudy, and
Nigeria is nowhere near the fastest growing economies in Africa.
According
to the International Monetary Funds (IMF) World Economic Outlook for 2016, as
revised in April, the fastest growing economy in Africa for 2016 is Cote
d’Ivoire and the slowest is Chad, which is expected to record negative growth.
Cote
d’Ivoire is expected to experience an 8.5% rise in GDP, while Nigeria’s
neighbour, Chad, would see a -0.4% growth.
Cote
D’Ivoire (8.5%), Tanzania (6.9%), Senegal (6.6%), Djibouti (6.5%), Rwanda
(6.3%), Kenya (6.0%), Mozambique (6.0%), Central African Republic (5.7%),
Sierra Leone (5.3%) Uganda (5.3%). Madagascar, Zambia and Chad are expected to
see a growth of 4.1 percent, 3.4 percent, 3.2 percent respectively.
The
fastest growing economies in Africa by GDP growth rate, as projected by IMF for
2016, are: Cote D’Ivoire (8.5%), Tanzania (6.9%), Senegal (6.6%), Djibouti
(6.5%), Rwanda (6.3%), Kenya (6.0%), Mozambique (6.0%), Central African
Republic (5.7%), Sierra Leone (5.3%) and Uganda (5.3%).
DR
Congo expects a GDP growth of 4.9%, Cameroon; 4.9%, Ethiopia; 4.5%, Ghana; 4.5%
and Republic of Congo; 4.4%.
Madagascar,
Zambia and Chad are expected to see a growth of 4.1%, 3.4% and 3.2% respectively.
Major
oil exporters, Angola and Nigeria, hard hit by the slump in crude oil prices,
are projected to see a growth 2.5% and 2.3%. At 2.3%, Nigeria is
expected to see its poorest GDP growth since the return of Democracy in 1999.
This
development has become a point of concern for the IMF, and the World Economic
Forum (WEF), which would be having its meeting on Africa later in May.
According
to WEF, Africa’s positive economic outlook is under pressure with the growth
rate expected to remain just under 5%. Foreign direct investment flows are
expected to continue to grow, although at a slower pace.
Rwanda
has transformed dramatically since the 1994 genocide and is now placed 5th in
the fastest growing African economies.
The
country is one of the continent’s most competitive economies and a top reformer
in improving the business environment.
Ahead of the World Economic Forum on
Africa in May, it is important to recognize the major challenges that many
African economies face. Some of the major threats include commodities slump,
currency devaluations and geo-security risks. “It is important to recognize the
challenges that many African economies face – the commodities slump, currency
devaluations and geo-security risks all threaten growth,” WEF explained.
The
Forum says its May meeting will highlight the need for diversification in order
to ensure inclusive economic growth, tapping into the fourth industrial
revolution’s potential to create new industries and help reduce inequality
across the continent.
This story was originally published before the World Economic Forum on Africa 2016 which took place in Kigali, Rwanda from 11-13 May.
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