Dr Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu, Nigeria's Minister of State |
Less than two weeks after
OPEC's decision to extend oil production cuts, Libya and Nigeria - the only two
exempt members of the group - are signalling their intent to raise output next
year.
Egina
FPSO sails to Nigeria: This is according to the company's Egina FPSO Deputy
Topside Manager within Total E&P Nigeria who shared a photo of the FPSO
taking off from Geoje in Korea.
|
While
several ministers at the Nov. 30 meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries suggested the two nations had joined the output-curbing
deal, both are working to add to their peak production from this year.
On
Friday, oil company Total said its new Egina field offshore Nigeria was on
track to start next year - adding 10 percent to the country's production.
The
field will have a capacity of 200,000 barrels per day (bpd) and launch in the
fourth quarter of 2018, counterbalancing production constrained by ageing
pipelines, perpetual theft and sabotage.
"That
could certainly change the dynamics," said Ehsan Ul-Haq, head of crude and
products at Resource Economist, a consultancy.
The
Nigerian petroleum ministry did not respond to a request for comment on the
Egina field startup, and whether production elsewhere would be curtailed as a
result.
On
Saturday, the head of Libya's U.N.-backed government met the head of Libya's
National Oil Corp (NOC) and the governor of Tripoli's central bank to discuss
how the corporation could get more cash to raise oil output next year.
The
NOC received a quarter of its requested budget in 2017, hampering efforts to
sustain oil output near 1 million bpd.
Any
additional funds could help make crucial repairs to the country's energy
infrastructure, a regular target for militant attacks, and boost output above
the roughly 1 million bpd mark where it currently stands.
Libya's
NOC has so far not spoken officially about the OPEC deal and declined a Reuters
request for comment.
NO
CAPS
The
developments may come as a surprise to market observers, who, after the Nov. 30
meeting, believed Nigeria and Libya had agreed to participate in the OPEC
agreement by imposing official caps at their peak 2017 production levels.
Instead,
the two countries merely provided their production outlook for 2018 and an
assessment that the combined total would not exceed 2.8 million bpd, their
forecast output for 2017, two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters.
That
outlook was dependent on both countries' finances and security situation, one
of those sources said.
The
headline of a statement issued by Nigeria's petroleum ministry on the day of
the OPEC meeting stressed, in block capitals, that Nigeria and Libya were
exempt from cuts.
Oil
Minister Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu emphasized in the statement that the nation's
condensates - a form of ultra-light crude - were exempt from any total, giving
it leeway in calculations. He also told local media there was "no
obligation" to do anything.
Oil
production from the two countries has averaged 1.7 million bpd and 900,000 bpd,
respectively, this year according to Reuters assessments.
But it has swung in each
country in a range of 340,000-350,000 bpd.
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