In
this Nov. 23, 2015 photo, Republican presidential candidate, Dr. Ben Carson
holds a news conference after a rally in Pahrump, Nev. (AP Photo/John Locher)
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Ayauna King-Baker loved
Ben Carson's "Gifted Hands" memoir so much that she made her daughter
Shaliya read it. So
when Carson showed up in town to sign copies of his new book, King-Baker
dragged the giggly 13-year-old along to the bookstore so they could both meet
him. To King-Baker, Carson's
"up-by-your-bootstraps" life story makes him a genuine celebrity
worth emulating in the African-American community. But she's also a Pompano
Beach Democrat watching Carson rise in the Republican presidential polls.
Associated Press report continues:
For
King-Baker and many other African-Americans, the vast majority of whom are
Democrats, there are two Carsons: One is a genius doctor and inspirational
speaker and writer who talks of limitless horizons; the other is a White House
candidate who pushes conservative politics and wishes to "de-emphasize
race."
How
they reconcile the two may help determine whether Republicans can dent the
solid support Democrats have enjoyed in the black community for decades.
President
Barack Obama won 95 percent of the black vote in 2008 and 93 percent in 2012.
Carson wasn't immune to the excitement of seeing the U.S. elect its first black
president.
"I
don't think there were any black people in the country that weren't thrilled
that that happened — including me," Carson told The Associated Press in a
recent interview when asked about Obama's first victory. "Everyone had
hope this would be something different. It was nice having that hope for a
little while."
Carson
has since become an aggressive critic of Obama. Carson rose to prominence in
the tea party movement after repudiating the president's health care law in
front of Obama during the 2013 National Prayer Breakfast. Today, Carson charges
that Obama's performance has actually set black candidates back.
"I
don't think he's made my path any easier," he said. "So many people
said there'd never be another black president for 100 years after this."
Carson
has not gone out of his way to court black voters this year. He insists he
won't change his message to attract specific audiences, although his campaign
tried a rap-filled ad this month.
He
already has one convert — King-Baker. She says she plans to change her
registration to vote for the doctor in the Florida primary. "He has the
momentum, he has the conversation, he's very serious, he's speaking to the
people, and I just think he would be a very good president," she said.
None
of this will matter unless Carson survives the primaries, where he's been
leading in early preference polls.
Black
votes aren't a major factor in GOP primaries. Only about 16 percent of
African-American voters affiliated with the Republican Party in 2012. But they
will be a factor in the November general election.
African-American
voters are one of the few growing segments of the voting public. The percentage
of black voters eclipsed the percentage of whites for the first time in 2012,
when 66 percent of blacks voted, compared with 64 percent of non-Hispanics
whites and about 48 percent of Hispanics and Asians.
Carole
Bell, a professor of communication studies at Northeastern University,
estimates that Carson could attract as much as 25 percent of the
African-American vote if he's the GOP candidate. "That would be a
tremendous accomplishment for the GOP at this stage," she said.
Carson
is better known by African-American voters than were other black Republicans
who ran for president, such as businessman Herman Cain, who achieved passing
prominence in the 2012 race, and former ambassador Alan Keyes before him.
Carson
was a celebrated figure before he entered politics because of his work as a
neurosurgeon. Carson led a team that successfully separated conjoined twins,
which led to movie appearances, best-selling books, a television biography and
a motivational speaking career that crossed racial lines.
"Black
people were proud that Carson had become a famous surgeon and had accomplished
what no one else ever had in separating the twins," said Fredrick Harris,
director of the Institute for Research in African-American Studies at Columbia
University.
That's
part of his appeal, said Rebecca Britt, 43, a registered Democrat who also came
to see Carson in Fort Lauderdale and buy his most recent book. "He's one
of the heroes in our community, with what he's been able to accomplish in the
medical field," she said.
But
can that translate into many black votes?
Carson
has said he would not support a Muslim for president, a position his campaign
says helped him raise money and attract conservative support. He's been
critical of the Black Lives Matter movement, which drew its name from protests
that followed the death of an unarmed black 18-year-old, Michael Brown.
The
retired neurosurgeon told the AP that Americans should take the focus off of
race during a recent trip to Brown's hometown, Ferguson, Missouri.
Carson
may draw support from conservative African-Americans and those already in the
GOP, but it's unlikely that he would make major inroads in the Democratic
Party's dominance among blacks in a general election, said D'Andra Orey, a
political science professor at Jackson State University in Jackson,
Mississippi.
Given
the GOP's fraught history with African-Americans, it could be "nearly
impossible for blacks to support a Republican who espouses what they deem to be
racially conservative rhetoric," Orey said. "Put short, it's an
uphill battle for any Republican who seeks out the black vote."
Bell,
the Northeastern professor, said Carson's celebrity may have helped him at the
beginning of his candidacy, but that shine may have worn off.
"He had tremendous positives
before he started speaking as a potential candidate," Bell said, "but
the more he speaks, the more there's opportunities to sort of really show
there's a gulf between him and a lot of African-Americans."
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