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In
15 years’ time, the US won’t be the world’s largest economy, China’s economy
will have doubled, EU countries like France and Italy will be stagnant, and
emerging markets will explode, according to new projections from the US
Department of Agriculture.
China's
GDP will nearly overtake America’s by 2030, according to the latest data published
by the US Department of Agriculture. The US will squeak by as the dominant
economy with $24.8 trillion in annual output, but it will see its proportion of
the world economy decline to 20 percent by 2030 from its current 23 percent
share.
By
2030, India will be the world’s third largest economy, up from its current
position at number eight. It will be followed by Japan in fourth place, then
Germany, and Brazil at number six.
India
will overtake the UK, France, Germany, and Japan in size. Growth in India will
be driven by its large and highly skilled labor force.
Emerging
economies in Asia and Africa are tapped to take off: Uganda will gain 18 spots
in the next 15 years. Conversely, Europe’s powerhouse economies - France and
Italy will drop three and two places, respectively.
Russia,
which is expected to lose as much as 5 percent in GDP in 2015, according to
JPMorgan, will drop two places by 2030 to the number 10 spot.
The
small Caribbean island of Jamaica is poised to lose the most economic output,
dropping 13 places in the ranking.
The data includes
projections for 189 countries that together account for 99 percent of the
global economy.
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